Photo Credit: Complex Sports
Yesterday Jack wrote a great article on the lottery rankings, today I will build off that and rank the full draft board for those of your teams, not in the lottery as well as give maybe a different perspective on some of the prospects.
#1 – Zion Williamson: I could write a bit about how dominant Zion could be, but I think everyone has heard enough about how good he can be. A while back I wrote an article saying he needed a team with all shooters around him like Giannis, Lonzo will hurt that, but overall Zion is still a generational talent. Just a reminder, there is talk about him being a Western Conference All-Star year 1, that’s a high bar. Just because he isn’t a top 25 player as a rookie doesn’t mean he won’t be a generational talent.
#2 – RJ Barrett: Much like Jack did, I have RJ at 2. The difference is I have RJ closer to Zion than Morant. RJ was once the top prospect for a reason. He has dominated on an international stage against elite players. Last year at Duke was not ideal as the floor spacing was not ideal, and that can be a concern in NY, but if the Knicks build the right roster with a 1, 3, and 4 who can shoot, RJ could be a scary force getting in the lane. I think RJ has a chance to be a true superstar in the NBA. Oh and he reclassified so he is only 19.
#3 – Ja Morant: I have a bigger gap between him and RJ than most, but Ja has the potential to be a special player. He needs to become a better defender, and his small frame scares me for an 82-game season.
#4 – Darius Garland: If you had asked me 2 weeks ago I would’ve said Garland was the most overrated player in this draft. Since then Jack’s article on Garland along with people I trust have convinced me otherwise. His limited film is concerning and he lacks athleticism, but his feel for the game is great. In a draft that lacks shooters, he excels at it.
#5 – Jarrett Culver: Culver is an elite defender coming out of college, that’s something you don’t get every day. With very few ELITE level players in this class (all of them ahead of him) Culver will slot in at the 5 spot as a safe pick to be a good starter.
#6 – Cam Reddish: Reddish struggled at Duke, but this draft has very few players with All-Star potential. Few players that could be a top 3 player on a contending team. Reddish upside makes him one of six players that have that potential. He has a much lower floor than Culver and gets ranked behind him for that.
#7 – Rui Hachimura: Rui could be the perfect guy for the modern NBA. His length, athletic ability, shooting, and defense exactly what the modern team wants to stretch the floor. He is the perfect PF to put next to 2 ball dominant players. I don’t think he’s a star I think he is the perfect 4th guy for any NBA team, and he can step in and do it right now.
#8 – Romeo Langford: Something my rankings will be consistent and maybe controversial about is valuing potential over a sure thing. I watched Langford live in high school several times, and he is a better shooter than what he showed at IU. The hand will get better and I believe he has the potential to be a borderline all-star guard. He needs a good strong coaching staff, but he has all the unteachables.
#9- Bol Bol: Yes Bol Bol over De’Andre Hunter. Bol Bol is the sixth player behind the top 4 and Cam that has legit perennial All-Star potential. He is very unlikely to hit that with his weight and size. He’s an injury risk, and very unproven. I list him at 9 because the weaker class makes me ok with taking this risk. He has legit guard skills at 7′ 3″ and can shot block everything. If he hits, he could be insanely good.
#10- Coby White: I have questions about the translation to the NBA game. He struggled to get assists and ranked up turnovers in college. He’s electric but not polished. He won’t fall this far, but at this point would be a great pick.
#11- De’Andre Hunter: Hunter is a great defender and another great fit at the 4 in the modern NBA. I have him lower than Rui due to less length and athletic ability. Hunter seems to be considered far ahead of Rui, but I don’t know why. Hunter will be a good role player in the NBA but does not have All-Star potential.
#12- Nassir Little: This is just a potential pick. Little is big strong and athletic. Good coaching could make him special.
#13- Sekou Doumbouya: Much like Rui he is a great modern 4, at 6′ 9″ and his very defensive minded. He has a soft touch from 3, and won’t turn 19 until December. The reason I have him below Hunter and Rui is he is looser and does not have a great feel for the game. He lacks shot preparation and its obvious he has not had the most disciplined coaching.
#14- Kevin Porter: He’s undisciplined, but has all the tools to be a solid starter in the league. If he can get in the right locker room he could be well worth a lottery pick.
#15- Brandon Clarke: Only 6′ 8″ but is a great switch everything center with good athletic ability. His size is the biggest knock on him, but in the right system, he could be a game changer.
#16- Cameron Johnson: The biggest exception to my potential over sure thing in this draft is here. While the draft is weak and normally I am taking potential at this point we are getting to teams that might be looking to contend sooner. Johnson can come in right now and shoot. He is tall and a perfect modern 3 and D wing. The purest shooter in the draft.
#17- Jaxson Hayes: Overall I’m always down on true centers. Hayes has upside, but never really showed it at Texas and has trouble staying on the floor. He wasn’t a great rebounder. Teams are banking on him developing a lot, in an NBA that has shifted more towards centers that can spread the floor.
#18- Tyler Herro: The 2nd best pure shooter in the draft, Herro can be a great off-ball guard and a good role player in the NBA for years to come. He should be taking notes of what Shamet did last season.
#19- Carsen Edwards: People are going to say its bias as a Purdue fan, but I have Carsen MUCH higher than most. His defense will be suspect and he’s not a great passer, but with his range and scoring ability, he seems a great fit in the modern NBA. Lou Williams comes to mind, and Carsen has that kind of upside. We just say a bunch of 3-4 year players do well in the playoffs. Carsen was INSANE in college, he had a tourney run like nobody since Steph Curry. I think he has to be worth picking round 1.
#20- Keldon Johnson: Has the ability to shoot and play defense. Another great modern role player which I am sure you’ve noticed is what we are looking for at this point.
Now we will go with a more rapid-fire ranking.
#21- Admiral Schofield
#22- Nickeil Alexander-Walker
#23- PJ Washington
#24- Dylan Windler
#25- Grant Williams
Every player on the list above can be a good role player in the right spot. Schofield and Grant Williams both are very intriguing. Grant Williams is VERY undersized for a modern 4, but he is a good rebounder to make up for it. Schofield shot 42% from 3 in college and his size could make him a perfect 3 and D wing.
#26- Luguentz Dort
#27- Goga Bitadze
#28- Mfiondu Kabengele
#29- KZ Okpala
#30- Talen Horton-Tucker
Dortz has real potential and could be an absolute steal late if he can get a jump shot, the rest of these guys are 1 tool players either shooting or defensive center (Kabengele).
#31- Ty Jerome
#32- Darius Bazley
#33- Bruno Fernando
#34- Nazreon Ried
#35- Louis King
#36- Luka Samanic
#37- Jontay Poter
#38- Shamorie Ponds
#39- Miye Oni
#40- Jordan Bone
#41- Zach Norvell
#42- Quinndary Weatherspoon
#43- Jaylen Hoard
#44- Tacko Fall
#45- Kris Wilkes
#46- Eric Paschall
#47- Matisse Thybulle
#48- Nic Claxton
#49- Isaiah Roby
#50- Tremont Waters
#51- Daniel Gafford
#52- Charles Matthews
#53- Justin Robinson
#54- Jared Harper
#55- Terance Mann
#56- Kyle Guy
#57- Kenny Wooten
#58- Moses Brown
#59- Jaylen Hands
#60- Kerwin Roach because of stories
That is the whole draft board for me, Oni and Bone have some of the highest ceilings in round 2 I believe and are worth real consideration.