Week 1 NFL Picks

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The 2019-20 NFL Season is finally here which means it’s time to break some bookies. Here are four Week 1 bets that will help you start the year off right.

Rams -3 @ Panthers

The defending NFC champion starts their season on the road against a Carolina team that is looking to bounce back after a poor finish to their season made them miss the playoffs last year. I love the Rams again this year and think they will certainly contend for the NFC title, and in this matchup, it’s hard to find a positional group where the Panthers have the advantage on paper. The only one I’d probably give the Panthers is linebacker, but with Thomas Davis now on the Chargers the Panthers are relying that much more on Kuechly. And with Cam Newton coming off yet another major shoulder surgery, I give the edge to Goff here. The Rams are just too stacked for the Panthers to keep up, and I think they’ll win this one by two scores.

Chargers vs Colts Under 44.5

This one is simple logic. The Colts are without Andrew Luck and the Chargers are without Melvin Gordon and Russell Okung (their best OL). Who is going to score points? In addition, the Colts play a “bend-don’t-break” style of defense which means they often allow the opponent to have long, time-consuming drives that still only result in three points or less. Take the under here.

Jets -3 vs Bills

The Jets and Bills are in similar situations- both know they have young, talented defenses and both are anticipating a major second-year improvement from their young quarterback. However, for me, there are three key differences in this game. 1) Home field advantage. 2) The Jets have Le’Veon Bell and Robby Anderson, two skill position players that the Bills simply do not have anything close to. 3) I am a much bigger believer in Sam Darnold than I am in Josh Allen. Hammer the Jets.

Raiders PK vs Broncos (MNF)

The Raiders are one of the most polarizing teams in the NFL right now, but I happen to fall on the side of high on the Raiders. Do I think they can make the playoffs? Probably not, but I am expecting much improvement out of Jon Gruden’s team this season for a few reasons. First off, I think they had one of the best off-seasons in the NFL. They added great veterans on both sides of the ball such as Antonio Brown, Richie Incognito, Tahir Whitehead, Vontaze Burfict, and Lamarcus Joyner. In addition, they had one of the best drafts in the NFL getting Clelin Ferrell, Josh Jacobs, Johnathan Abram, and Hunter Renfrow. What Mike Mayock has done with this roster is outstanding. And secondly, I do believe Jon Gruden can be a solid head coach again. Is he going to be top tier like Belichick, McVay, or Reid? No. But I do think he can win football games. And on the other side of this one, we have a team with a brand new unproven head coach in Vic Fangio whose biggest move to try and fix a stagnant offense was bringing in Joe Flacco. With the Raiders at home, I think it’s a lock that they start the year 1-0.

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